I’ll post a fuller analysis later, but here are my notes from the lock-up: What We Got – An Overview of Conservative Priorities The centrepiece of the Budget is a new tax exempt savings vehicle which begins small, but will ramp up over time to eventually remove a high and rising proportion of investment income from income tax. It will […]
Read morehttp://www03.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/b2c/catalog/z_getpdf.jsp?pdfkey=2913653764704560038976021471679303982482875120909016402/65901.pdf CMHC have published a joint study with StatsCan on the dynamics of housing affordability, 2002 to 2004. Affordable housing is defined as paying more than 30% of household pre tax income on shelter costs. Annually published cross sectional estimates show that about 20% of Canadians were paying too much for housing in any given year over this period. This […]
Read moreRichard Ziegler has recently written and published a book called “Reclaiming The Canadian Left” which is worth a read. For details see http://www.richardziegler.ca/ He argues that the Canadian left has largely renounced economic equality as a goal. I’m broadly sympathetic to his argument that the left has indeed abandoned the radically egalitarian vision which Ziegler espouses, and he did touch […]
Read moreEverybody seems to think that next week’s federal budget will be a pretty boring, stay the course, “prudent” document because there is almost no room for fiscal manouevre. I wonder. True, there is next to no surplus left for 2008-09 due to the big Conservative tax cuts made last Fall. But Flaherty is still sitting on top of about a […]
Read moreYet another StatsCan study to confirm ever-increasing inequality over a period of falling unemployment – this time measured in terms of changes in real hourly wages over the past decade, 1997-2007, based on Labour Force Survey data. Earnings in the Last Decade by Rene Morissette. http://www.statcan.ca/english/freepub/75-001-XIE/2008102/pdf/10521-en.pdf Among the highlights: Real Average hourly earnings (AHE) of private sector employees rose by […]
Read moreEPI News Focus on Manufacturing With layoffs and cutbacks becoming routine, it is tempting to write off U.S. manufacturing as an anachronism. However, a new set of EPI reports shows that actually making things remains an essential part of the economy, and can continue to be a source of good jobs. Â The manufacturing sector supported 14 million jobs in […]
Read moreWith the US convulsed by massive defaults on household debt and a resulting banking crisis, the question of whether we are in anywhere near the same dismal state seems germane. The bank economists typically proclaim that all is well compared to the excesses south of the border, but that does seem a trifle self-serving given that they work for the […]
Read moreConservative Senator Hugh Segal is actively promoting the very old new idea of a Guaranteed Annual Income (GAI) and Senate Committe hearings may soon follow. I’m all for providing more money to low income families and would willingly scrap social assistance as we know it for something that is more generous and less punitive – and will concede that Segal […]
Read moreThe House of Commons Finance Committee has just released its pre Budget report and recommendations. There’s a lot of common denominator all party agreement here, including on some modestly useful items. The report focuses on the impacts of thr high dollar and on tax measures. http://cmte.parl.gc.ca/cmte/CommitteePublication.aspx?SourceId=225139Â What I find perhaps most interesting – and rather disturbing – is the lack […]
Read moreToday’s job numbers are surprisingly strong given the alarming deterioration of the US economy. They are very likely to lead to a further rise in the dollar, a reluctance on the part of the Bank of Canada to cut interest rates any further in the near future, and even a quick election. But we should not lose sight of the fact […]
Read moreI just love the way “free markets” work. Here is a classic example of price “stickiness.” In Ontario I have the privilege of purchasing my gas from an independent supplier under a fixed term/fixed price contract, or at a fluctuating price from my distributor, Enbridge. The rational economist in me tells me that it should make no real difference whether […]
Read moreA lot of US progressives, including Dean Baker, and Larry Mishel from the Economic Policy Institute, are weighing in on the need for a significant fiscal stimulus package, in the range of 1% of GDP. http://www.epi.org/subjectpages/stimulus.cfm Citing – entirely reasonably – the need for measures which will have a quick impact on a slowing economy, these packages tilt to income […]
Read moreNeo liberal orthodoxy is crumbling in the wake of the ever-deepening manufacturing crisis. Witness yesterday’s call from the Canadian Manufacturers and Exporters Association for domestic procurement policies linked to major public investments in infrastructure and transit projects – long advocated by labour and derided by mainstream types as a return to dreaded “industrial policies.” As the CME point out, there […]
Read moreFrom today’s Observer – http://observer.guardian.co.uk/comment/story/0,,2247583,00.htmlÂ
Read moreCheck out this brilliant video on You Tube, everything you need to know about finance and the sub prime crisis. http://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=long%20johns%20sub%20prime&search=Search&sa=X&oi=spell&resnum=0&spell=1Â
Read moreWith outright panic sweeping global financial markets, the relative calm among Canadian economic policy-makers seems increasingly strange.  Today’s timid quarter point interest rate cut by the Bank of Canada was hugely eclipsed by the US Federal Reserve’s three quarter point cut, rushed out the door to try and soothe the savage beast known as Wall Street just before the much […]
Read moreI’m really impressed by this web resource launched by Human Resources and Social Development Canada. It provides indicators across several domains – income, work, health, learning etc. to a total of perhaps 80 in all – charts major national trends, disggregates many indicators by gender and (bravely for the federal government) by province, and provides international comparisons within the OECD […]
Read moreThis report from Ken Battle of the Caledon Institute was released today. I’ve not yet had a chance to read it in full but the approach seems bang-on to me – fold the two new badly designed Tory child benefits into the CCTB, with a new and much higher maximum of $5,000, phased out relatively slowly as family income rises. […]
Read moreI note that the European Trade Union Confederation (ETUC) has called for a carbon tax on imports into the EU if Europe’s trading partners do not take actions to reduce emissions similar to those of the EU. (text follows.) The aim is to ensure that jobs in European heavy industry are not lost to lower-cost imports as costly nvestments are […]
Read moreToday’s job numbers show that fears of a looming recession are justified, and underline the need for immediate action. Labour has called for cuts to interest rates to help bring down the dollar, a national high level task force on the manufacturing jobs crisis, targeted measures to support new manufacturing investment, and job creation through Buy in Canada policies tied […]
Read moreA good piece by novelist John Lanchester from the London Review of Books – on the City (London finance), inequality, and the credit crisis. http://www.lrb.co.uk/v30/n01/lanc01_.html
Read moreThe Globe has chosen Don Johnson “Nation Builder of the Year†for his long campaign to waive capital gains tax on charitable contributions of shares. http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20071220.wnationwattcloutier28/BNStory/National/home This has, reportedly, resulted in a flood of donations by Canada’s most wealthy families to deserving, and not so deserving, charities. Many of us would count gifts to business schools and conservative […]
Read moreJared Bernstein of the Economic Policy Institute on just released US data which show a rather starting further increase in US income inequality – apparently the top 1% of families there now get 19% of all after tax income and average over $1 Million apiece. Looks like a blog to monitor, for those who want to follow dismal and other […]
Read moreWhere is Finance Minister Flaherty? by Doug Peters and Arthur Donner. (from today’s Toronto Star) (Doug Peters is the former Chief Economist of The Toronto-Dominion Bank and was Secretary of State (Finance) from 1993 to 1997. Arthur Donner, a Toronto economic consultant, began his career as an economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of NewYork.) “The credit problems […]
Read moreAn open letter to Susan Riley (Ottawa Citizen) Dear Susan I always enjoy your columns, but feel compelled to modestly take issue with yesterday’s highly critical piece on Layton and the NDP. http://www.canada.com/ottawacitizen/columnists/story.html?id=380c76cc-f1cc-4aa8-84d7-4aadebd0ec1f  Yes, Layton is sometimes unduly macho combative and, yes, the frequent attacks on the Liberals do sometimes grate, especially if they allow Harper to get off […]
Read moreSix leading US economists take on this question in the NYT, and it doesn’t sound good: Â http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/16/opinion/16recession.html
Read moreNiels Veldhuis of the Fraser Institute takes me to task today in a Letter to the Editor in response to the story, ‘Tax the rich more in Canada, study urges” (Nanaimo Daily News, Dec. 12). He claims that “the story focusing on the report by Canadian Labour Congress economist Andrew Jackson is seriously misleading… the report conveniently ignores the impact […]
Read moreI’m not one of those who are inclined to see sovereign wealth funds as especially dangerous creatures, especially if the alternative is private transnational corporations. I’d like Canada to have more funds of our own, on the model of the Norwegian oil fund, though we do have one large one in the form of the CPP Investment Fund. Still, real […]
Read moreA nice commentary by Kristian Weis in the OECD Observer http://www.oecdobserver.org/news/printpage.php/aid/2229/Corporate_tax_warning.html
Read moreJim Stanford and I appeared before the Industry Committee yesterday to speak to the impacts of the high dollar, particularly on manufacturing. Chaired by James Rajotte, the Committee has done some good work on manufacturing and has worked in a relatively constructive and not totally partisan way to develop some useful reports and recommendations. Their report last year did urge […]
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